Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001763 0.001882 0.002006 0.002145 0.002295 0.002452 0.002632
2024-12-29 0.001565 0.001730 0.001908 0.002115 0.002350 0.002610 0.002919
2025-01-05 0.001432 0.001625 0.001839 0.002098 0.002401 0.002748 0.003177
2025-01-12 0.001317 0.001525 0.001763 0.002057 0.002413 0.002832 0.003367
2025-01-19 0.001235 0.001456 0.001714 0.002040 0.002444 0.002934 0.003577
2025-01-26 0.001133 0.001356 0.001620 0.001960 0.002390 0.002923 0.003640
2025-02-02 0.001109 0.001347 0.001635 0.002013 0.002502 0.003121 0.003978
2025-02-09 0.001080 0.001330 0.001636 0.002047 0.002589 0.003291 0.004286
2025-02-16 0.001077 0.001344 0.001678 0.002133 0.002747 0.003559 0.004740
2025-02-23 0.001039 0.001310 0.001655 0.002133 0.002787 0.003671 0.004982
2025-03-02 0.000978 0.001245 0.001588 0.002069 0.002738 0.003654 0.005039
2025-03-09 0.000933 0.001198 0.001543 0.002032 0.002722 0.003682 0.005159
2025-03-16 0.000897 0.001165 0.001518 0.002028 0.002760 0.003799 0.005438
2025-03-23 0.000856 0.001124 0.001482 0.002006 0.002772 0.003882 0.005671
2025-03-30 0.000821 0.001089 0.001452 0.001991 0.002793 0.003976 0.005928
2025-04-06 0.000781 0.001046 0.001408 0.001953 0.002777 0.004014 0.006095
2025-04-13 0.000751 0.001015 0.001380 0.001937 0.002791 0.004098 0.006342
2025-04-20 0.000705 0.000959 0.001315 0.001862 0.002711 0.004027 0.006327
2025-04-27 0.000699 0.000961 0.001332 0.001912 0.002827 0.004274 0.006865
2025-05-04 0.000689 0.000956 0.001338 0.001944 0.002916 0.004483 0.007354
2025-05-11 0.000692 0.000970 0.001374 0.002025 0.003087 0.004838 0.008130
2025-05-18 0.000674 0.000952 0.001360 0.002024 0.003125 0.004969 0.008508
2025-05-25 0.000641 0.000911 0.001310 0.001965 0.003061 0.004919 0.008541